Hobro vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
3º
3º
45
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 1
HOB
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 1
HIL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HBK
1 - 3
HOB
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 1
HOB
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 2
HVI
20%
24%
55%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
6 - 1
HBK
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 3
FRE
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
LFA
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
BFR
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VEJ
3 - 1
FRE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |