Hobro II vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 2
HOB
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 2
NOR
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ODD
2 - 0
HOB
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HOB
1 - 1
KJE
58%
19%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HOB
5 - 2
VRI
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 2
VRI
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VOR
4 - 2
VAR
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
RIN
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
2 - 1
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KJE
2 - 1
VAR
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |