HNK Sibenik vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 2
HNS
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 2
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNS
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HNG
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
4 - 1
OSI
22%
24%
55%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PRB
1 - 4
NKV
7%
15%
78%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
NKV
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |