HNK Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
71
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 1
HNS
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
DZG
14%
23%
64%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
5 - 1
SLA
72%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 2
VIL
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
LOK
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
HKS
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |