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1. HNL. Matchday 9

HNK Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis

HNK Sibenik HNK Hajduk Split
42 ELO 61
-20% Tilt 62%
2711º General ELO ranking 467º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.2%
HNK Sibenik
16.3%
Draw
71.5%
HNK Hajduk Split

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
HNK Sibenik
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.5%
Win probability
HNK Hajduk Split
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HNK Sibenik
-31%
+47%
HNK Hajduk Split

Basic stats

39
61
POS
8
9
SOT
2
3
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
15
16
FRK
42
61
ELO
1
2.5
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

HNK Sibenik
Their league position
HNK Hajduk Split
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
17
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Zagreb
28
93
100%
HNK Hajduk Split
17
72
68%
NK Slaven Belupo
17
45
13%
NK Osijek
15
50
12%
NK Varazdin
15
48
12%
NK Istra 1961
12
36
11%
HNK Sibenik
10
32
12%
Lokomotiva
9
53
9%
HNK Rijeka
6
35
13%
HNK Gorica
10º
5
32
10º
16%
Expected probabilities
HNK Sibenik
HNK Hajduk Split
Champion
0% 11%
Europa Conference League
16% 73%
Mid-table
71% 15%
Relegation
13% 1%

ELO progression

HNK Sibenik
HNS
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
NK Istra 1961
IST
NK Osijek
OSI
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HNK Sibenik
HNK Sibenik
1%
X%
2%
ELO HNS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2022
HNS
HNK Sibenik
1 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
28%
26%
46%
646 1396 -750 +2
03 Sep. 2022
OSI
NK Osijek
1 - 1
HNK Sibenik
HNS
57%
24%
20%
644 1068 424 +2
28 Aug. 2022
HNS
HNK Sibenik
1 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
24%
24%
52%
646 1660 -1014 -2
20 Aug. 2022
NKV
NK Varazdin
2 - 2
HNK Sibenik
HNS
41%
28%
31%
647 500 -147 0
12 Aug. 2022
HNS
HNK Sibenik
0 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
46%
27%
27%
647 688 -41 0

Matches

HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
1%
X%
2%
ELO HKS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2022
HNS
HNK Sibenik
1 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
28%
26%
46%
1396 646 -750 -2
04 Sep. 2022
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
5 - 1
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
58%
23%
19%
1390 976 414 +6
28 Aug. 2022
OSI
NK Osijek
2 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
39%
27%
34%
1396 1062 -334 -6
21 Aug. 2022
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
58%
23%
19%
1393 978 415 +3
13 Aug. 2022
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
4 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
54%
25%
21%
1400 1647 247 -7