HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
9º
65
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
HNG
8%
15%
77%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 1
HNS
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 1
HNG
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 2
OSI
23%
25%
53%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
HNG
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
DZG
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
RIJ
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
IST
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |