HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
81
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNG
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
IST
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
HNG
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
3 - 2
LOK
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 1
HNG
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
DZG
1 - 0
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
RIJ
55%
22%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
DZG
14%
23%
64%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 1
BOG
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
5 - 2
OSI
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |