HNK Cibalia vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
IST
3 - 0
HNK
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HNK
2 - 0
RIJ
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 0
HNK
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
HNK
2 - 1
OSI
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HNK
5 - 1
HNS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ZAG
0 - 3
DZG
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 0
ZAG
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
INT
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
1 - 2
DZG
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
IST
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |