Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 5-2
HJK Helsinki vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
KOO
0 - 1
HJK
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
FKN
2 - 2
HJK
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
0 - 0
SEI
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 2
MFF
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
FKN
2 - 2
HJK
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FKN
0 - 1
OLP
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
OLP
1 - 0
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
FKN
2 - 1
DTB
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
DTB
1 - 2
FKN
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |