Hitrino vs Dorostol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
0.3%
+2
5.8%
1-0
21.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
<0%
+1
23.8%
51.1%
Draw
0-0
43.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
0.3%
0
51.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-31%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 41 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 5 |
13º
|
1% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
DOR
HIT
SVE
BOT
KUB
SUV
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitrino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO HIT | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
SVA
4 - 0
HIT
47%
27%
26%
|
253 | 388 | 135 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
HIT
0 - 0
SEP
47%
27%
26%
|
253 | 192 | 61 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HIT
0 - 0
LOR
46%
27%
27%
|
253 | 261 | -8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 1
HIT
49%
26%
25%
|
254 | 375 | 121 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
DOB
3 - 0
HIT
47%
27%
26%
|
256 | 403 | 147 | -2 |
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO DOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 1
SEP
47%
27%
26%
|
267 | 192 | 75 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 0
DOR
46%
27%
27%
|
267 | 261 | -6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 4
CHE
46%
27%
28%
|
269 | 309 | -40 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SUV
3 - 0
DOR
41%
28%
31%
|
272 | 206 | -66 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 1
SVE
47%
27%
26%
|
272 | 209 | 63 | 0 |