Hitchin Town vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HIT
5 - 1
ALV
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HIT
2 - 0
BAR
14%
22%
64%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
HIT
5 - 0
HAT
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BED
1 - 6
HIT
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
HIT
0 - 2
PET
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
RED
1 - 1
NEE
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
NEE
3 - 1
BUR
60%
20%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NEE
3 - 2
YEL
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PET
0 - 0
NEE
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BAN
4 - 2
NEE
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |