Hitchin Town vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
HIT
0 - 2
ROY
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 2
HIT
68%
16%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
STR
1 - 2
HIT
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HIT
2 - 2
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
STA
5 - 0
HIT
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
RAM
1 - 1
HER
19%
20%
62%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HER
1 - 2
CHI
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
VCD
1 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HYT
1 - 0
HER
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
WHI
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |