Hitchin Town vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HIT
1 - 3
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
RED
2 - 2
HIT
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
HIT
0 - 4
KIN
35%
25%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
HIT
0 - 1
BIG
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
HIT
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
DOR
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
STN
3 - 1
CHE
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 0
STI
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
BIS
81%
12%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 5
CHE
10%
18%
72%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |