Histon vs Ilkeston Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
HIS
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HIS
2 - 0
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
YAX
5 - 2
HIS
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
HIS
0 - 1
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SOH
2 - 0
HIS
29%
23%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
ILK
2 - 1
LOU
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
ILK
22%
22%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ILK
2 - 2
HAL
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SOH
2 - 5
ILK
10%
18%
72%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ILK
5 - 2
SUT
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |