Histon vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
YAX
5 - 2
HIS
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
HIS
0 - 1
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SOH
2 - 0
HIS
29%
23%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
HIS
1 - 1
SPA
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 2
HIS
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
SOH
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 2
CAR
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
WIS
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
DAV
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |