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Conference North. Matchday 41

Hinckley United vs Blyth Spartans analysis

Hinckley United Blyth Spartans
11 ELO 9
23% Tilt -13%
14845º General ELO ranking 7700º
802º Country ELO ranking 728º
ELO win probability
55.8%
Hinckley United
24%
Draw
20.2%
Blyth Spartans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
Hinckley United
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
Blyth Spartans
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hinckley United
+49%
-5%
Blyth Spartans

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hyde
90
90
100%
Guiseley
85
85
100%
FC Halifax Town
74
74
50%
Gainsborough Trinity
74
74
50%
Nuneaton Town
72
72
100%
Stalybridge Celtic
71
71
100%
Worcester City
65
65
100%
Altrincham
61
61
100%
Droylsden
59
59
100%
Bishops Stortford
10º
58
58
10º
100%
Boston United
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Colwyn Bay
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Workington
13º
52
52
15º
33%
Gloucester City
14º
52
52
13º
33%
Harrogate Town
15º
52
52
14º
33%
Histon
16º
51
51
16º
100%
Corby Town
17º
50
50
17º
50%
Vauxhall Motors
18º
50
50
18º
50%
Solihull Moors
19º
49
49
19º
100%
Hinckley United
20º
48
48
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Eastwood Town
22º
20
20
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hinckley United
Blyth Spartans
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Blyth Spartans
BLY
Hinckley United
HIN
Nuneaton Town
NUN
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
Newport County
NEW
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hinckley United
Hinckley United
1%
X%
2%
ELO HIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2012
THE
Worcester City
1 - 1
Hinckley United
HIN
44%
27%
29%
163 165 2 0
09 Apr. 2012
HIN
Hinckley United
1 - 3
Bishops Stortford
BIS
47%
27%
26%
164 133 31 -1
07 Apr. 2012
HIS
Histon
2 - 3
Hinckley United
HIN
46%
27%
27%
164 153 -11 +1
03 Apr. 2012
VAU
Vauxhall Motors
1 - 2
Hinckley United
HIN
41%
28%
31%
163 89 -74 +1
31 Mar. 2012
HIN
Hinckley United
1 - 1
Droylsden
DRO
41%
28%
31%
163 226 -63 0

Matches

Blyth Spartans
Blyth Spartans
1%
X%
2%
ELO BLY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
0 - 1
Hyde
HYD
46%
27%
27%
147 150 -3 -1
09 Apr. 2012
TOW
Harrogate Town
0 - 0
Blyth Spartans
BLY
44%
27%
29%
147 163 16 0
07 Apr. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
2 - 3
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
47%
27%
26%
148 98 50 -1
03 Apr. 2012
BLY
Blyth Spartans
2 - 1
Solihull Moors
SOL
44%
27%
29%
147 136 11 +1
31 Mar. 2012
VAU
Vauxhall Motors
2 - 1
Blyth Spartans
BLY
41%
28%
31%
148 89 -59 -1