Hilversum vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilversum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
EVV
0 - 0
HIL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
HIL
1 - 1
FCO
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACH
6 - 0
HIL
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HIL
0 - 2
ARG
43%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HIL
0 - 2
DET
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 3
QUI
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 2
HAA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
LIE
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 1
JVC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 0
LIE
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |