Hilltop vs Burnham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilltop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
WAE
3 - 0
HFC
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
5 - 2
EGH
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 1
HFC
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 4
FLA
13%
17%
70%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
HFC
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WAE
3 - 2
BUR
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
BUR
51%
20%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 1
BUR
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
HFC
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
4 - 0
WAE
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |