Hillerød vs Vendsyssel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
7º
36
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 2
HIL
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 8
HIL
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 1
HOB
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
HIL
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 4
HBK
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vendsyssel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HOB
0 - 1
VEN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SIK
2 - 1
VEN
19%
20%
61%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCH
26%
25%
48%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
HBK
3 - 1
VEN
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 1
SON
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |