Hillerød vs Hobro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
7º
33
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
HIL
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 4
HBK
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 2
HIL
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
LYN
0 - 0
HIL
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 3
HIL
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
HOB
3 - 2
NAE
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 2
HOB
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
HOB
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
HOB
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
HOB
1 - 0
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |