Highworth Town vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Highworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HIG
3 - 3
WIL
59%
22%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CIR
1 - 0
HIG
84%
10%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HIG
3 - 0
AFT
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
PLY
2 - 0
HIG
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 0
HIG
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 2
FOR
8%
16%
77%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
BCA
2 - 3
SWI
9%
15%
77%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
GLO
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
SWI
7%
14%
79%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
TIV
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |