Highworth Town vs Hertford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
19º
18º
38
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Highworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 2
HIG
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BIG
4 - 1
HIG
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HIG
1 - 2
PAU
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HIG
0 - 6
DID
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 1
HIG
42%
23%
34%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hertford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
HAD
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
BFC
27%
21%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AFD
4 - 4
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SEV
2 - 2
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |