Hibernians vs Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
6º
15
12º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
8 - 0
KER
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZEB
0 - 2
HIB
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 0
HIB
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GUD
3 - 0
SLU
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 0
SLU
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
ZEB
50%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |