Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
HIB
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HIB
3 - 0
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 0
HIB
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HIB
1 - 0
FLO
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 3
HIB
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
MQA
4 - 1
HAM
41%
24%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 3
TAR
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
QOR
6 - 0
HAM
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
HAM
3 - 1
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 1
MOS
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |