Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
9º
5º
31
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 2
GLA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
HIB
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 1
HIB
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 1
KIL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
MHE
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 0
KIL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
0 - 5
CEL
19%
22%
60%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 0
KIL
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |