Hibernian FC vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
9º
5º
50
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
KIL
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 2
GLA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
HIB
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 1
ABE
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 4
ABE
15%
23%
63%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
30%
30%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 3
MHE
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |