Heybridge Swifts vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
10º
6º
39
13º
20º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
97 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
91 | 91 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
69 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
66 | 69 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
63 | 66 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
50 | 50 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
25 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
19 | 22 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
HEY
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HEY
1 - 1
HUN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HEY
1 - 3
STO
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
WRO
1 - 1
HEY
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LOW
1 - 1
HEY
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
YEL
2 - 1
MAL
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 0
GOR
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WHI
2 - 4
MAL
29%
23%
49%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAL
2 - 5
NSA
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 4
MAL
58%
20%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |