Heybridge Swifts vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
2 - 4
DER
57%
20%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
HEY
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HEY
2 - 1
CRA
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
HEY
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
NEE
1 - 2
HEY
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOO
1 - 0
HER
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
RAM
39%
26%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
COR
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
RED
2 - 1
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |