Heybridge Swifts vs Bury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
HEY
10%
18%
73%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
HEY
1 - 1
ROM
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HEY
1 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
HEY
27%
24%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HEY
2 - 1
TIL
28%
23%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
THA
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TIL
3 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 1
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 3
THU
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |