Heybridge Swifts vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HEY
3 - 2
GRE
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HEY
2 - 2
HAY
11%
17%
71%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HEY
1 - 3
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HTG
1 - 2
HEY
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 3
HEY
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
YEL
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
YEL
0 - 4
COL
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 0
YEL
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
2 - 0
FEL
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
4 - 2
GRE
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |