Heven vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
WER
2 - 0
HEV
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ERN
3 - 4
HEV
75%
15%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
HEV
5 - 2
GIE
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
HEV
0 - 3
LIP
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
ABI
4 - 1
HEV
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ABI
5 - 1
RBE
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ABI
0 - 1
WHE
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
ABI
13%
19%
69%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ABI
2 - 0
ERK
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
ABI
4 - 1
HEV
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |