Hessen Kassel vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HES
8 - 2
FSV
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WIE
2 - 1
HES
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HES
1 - 3
FSV
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KOB
2 - 1
HES
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HES
1 - 1
WWO
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
BAU
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIK
1 - 0
BAU
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAU
2 - 0
NEU
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
BAU
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAU
3 - 1
WAL
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |