Hertha Zehlendorf vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
4º
1º
8
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
75% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 3
ANK
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 0
OPT
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 4
HZE
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
HZE
4 - 0
TAS
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
TUM
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SCS
4 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
MAH
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
TEN
2 - 0
UNI
72%
15%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |