Hertha BSC vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
HAN
2 - 6
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
HJK
1 - 2
HER
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
HER
3 - 0
MON
25%
23%
51%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
OFC
2 - 1
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
HER
4 - 1
HJK
81%
13%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
STU
2 - 2
RVO
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
SVS
2 - 0
STU
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
STU
2 - 0
SGF
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
BAY
1 - 0
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
STU
0 - 2
M05
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |