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Bundesliga. Matchday 22

Hertha BSC vs B. Dortmund analysis

Hertha BSC B. Dortmund
74 ELO 86
5% Tilt 1%
170º General ELO ranking 27º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.4%
Hertha BSC
26.5%
Draw
37.1%
B. Dortmund

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
Hertha BSC
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.1%
Win probability
B. Dortmund
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hertha BSC
+3%
+45%
B. Dortmund

Points and table prediction

Hertha BSC
Their league position
B. Dortmund
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
17º
16º
81
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Dortmund
81
81
100%
Bayern München
73
73
100%
Schalke 04
64
64
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
60
60
100%
B. Leverkusen
54
54
100%
Stuttgart
53
53
100%
Hannover 96
48
48
100%
Wolfsburg
44
44
100%
Werder Bremen
42
42
50%
Nürnberg
10º
42
42
10º
50%
Hoffenheim
11º
41
41
11º
100%
SC Freiburg
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Mainz 05
13º
39
39
13º
100%
FC Augsburg
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Hamburger SV
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Hertha BSC
16º
31
31
16º
100%
Köln
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Kaiserslautern
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hertha BSC
B. Dortmund
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
UCL qualifying
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

B. Dortmund
BVB
Hertha BSC
HER
FC Augsburg
AUG
Hannover 96
HAN
Stuttgart
STU
Club Brugge
BRU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
1%
X%
2%
ELO HER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2012
STU
Stuttgart
5 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
56%
24%
20%
2126 2516 390 -14
08 Feb. 2012
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 2
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
47%
27%
26%
2154 2202 -48 -19
04 Feb. 2012
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 1
Hannover 96
HAN
47%
27%
26%
2157 2264 -107 -12
28 Jan. 2012
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
39%
28%
34%
2167 2492 -325 -10
21 Jan. 2012
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
47%
27%
26%
2184 2076 -108 -17

Matches

B. Dortmund
B. Dortmund
1%
X%
2%
ELO BVB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2012
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
51%
25%
24%
2856 2756 100 +9
07 Feb. 2012
HOL
Holstein Kiel
0 - 4
B. Dortmund
BVB
12%
18%
70%
2864 499 -2365 +1
03 Feb. 2012
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
35%
27%
38%
2834 2084 -750 +11
28 Jan. 2012
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
72%
18%
10%
2828 1996 832 +6
22 Jan. 2012
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 5
B. Dortmund
BVB
41%
28%
31%
2808 2513 -295 +20