Hertha BSC vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STU
2 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
LEV
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
COT
1 - 3
HER
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 1
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BVB
1 - 0
BRE
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HAN
4 - 4
BVB
39%
25%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
STU
2 - 1
BVB
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BVB
0 - 0
HOF
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
S04
1 - 1
BVB
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |