Hertha BSC II vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
8º
15º
9º
27
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 2
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
ALT
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHL
4 - 2
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
COT
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ERF
2 - 1
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIC
4 - 2
LOK
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CZJ
0 - 0
LIC
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 2
CHE
16%
21%
64%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAK
6 - 0
LIC
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
2 - 1
MEU
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |