Hertford Town vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
18º
14º
49
8º
19º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BIG
2 - 2
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
KID
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
HER
5 - 0
FCR
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 3
DID
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
THA
1 - 3
WAL
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
5 - 1
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KID
1 - 2
WAL
44%
24%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 1
HAR
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |