Herstal vs Warnant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TIL
0 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
AYW
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HUY
1 - 1
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HER
0 - 1
CLI
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RES
2 - 1
HER
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 2
LON
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AIS
2 - 0
WAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TIL
3 - 1
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
AYW
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HUY
11 - 1
WAR
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |