Herstal vs Milanello Milmort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TIL
2 - 0
HER
68%
17%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
SFR
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RAU
1 - 5
HER
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WAR
4 - 2
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
BEA
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Milanello Milmort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIM
2 - 4
WAR
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BEA
4 - 2
MIM
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MIM
1 - 1
STO
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WEY
2 - 2
MIM
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MIM
0 - 5
XHO
23%
22%
56%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |