Herstal vs Lorraine Arlon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
VER
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 4
HER
9%
16%
75%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
XHO
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lorraine Arlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
LON
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 0
LOR
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 4
RES
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
12%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 3
CLI
34%
22%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |