Herstal vs Longlier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
3 - 0
HER
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HER
2 - 5
MEI
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
STO
1 - 4
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
HUY
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
4 - 2
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Longlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LON
2 - 4
STO
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
LON
1 - 3
HUY
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 2
LON
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LON
0 - 0
RIC
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GIV
3 - 0
LON
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |