Herrera II vs Atl. Chiriquí II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.4%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+25%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Final season | 0% | 100% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 0% |
ELO progression
ACH
HFC
CDU
VCD
AFM
SAP
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO HFC | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SAP
1 - 0
HFC
45%
27%
28%
|
243 | 253 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
OES
1 - 0
HFC
45%
27%
28%
|
245 | 247 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
3 - 1
HFC
45%
27%
28%
|
246 | 247 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
HFC
1 - 2
NAC
47%
27%
26%
|
248 | 220 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
HFC
1 - 0
UDP
45%
27%
28%
|
246 | 248 | -2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO ACH | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 2
AFM
45%
27%
28%
|
255 | 251 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
ACH
46%
27%
28%
|
255 | 222 | -33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
2 - 2
UFC
45%
27%
28%
|
255 | 248 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 0
ACH
46%
27%
27%
|
255 | 247 | -8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
IDC
2 - 0
ACH
45%
27%
28%
|
257 | 252 | -5 | -2 |