Herrera II vs Mario Méndez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
11º
10º
35
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 3
VCD
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 2
HFC
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 2
SAP
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 2
HFC
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HFC
2 - 0
ACH
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AFM
2 - 0
SAP
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 1
AFM
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AFM
4 - 3
ACH
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
AFM
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
AFM
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |