Herrera II vs Mario Méndez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 0
HFC
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
HFC
0 - 0
AFM
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HFC
2 - 0
VCD
45%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACH
3 - 1
HFC
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
HFC
3 - 0
SAP
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
AFM
1 - 0
OES
32%
28%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
OES
2 - 0
AFM
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AFM
1 - 2
VCD
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
HFC
0 - 0
AFM
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AFM
3 - 0
SAP
70%
18%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |