Herrera II vs Mario Méndez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HFC
2 - 0
VCD
45%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACH
3 - 1
HFC
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
HFC
3 - 0
SAP
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HFC
2 - 2
OES
13%
22%
66%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HFC
2 - 2
SFF
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AFM
3 - 0
SAP
70%
18%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 1
AFM
22%
24%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
AFM
2 - 0
ACH
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AFM
1 - 2
IDC
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
AFM
64%
21%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |