Herrera vs Rivas AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 2
HER
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BOQ
2 - 3
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HER
3 - 0
RBR
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
AGR
3 - 1
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HER
0 - 2
MAG
26%
23%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rivas AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
BOQ
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RBR
2 - 2
RIV
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUC
2 - 2
RIV
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
RIV
3 - 0
EUR
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MON
5 - 0
RIV
62%
19%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |