Herrera vs Olvega SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+205%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
EUR
0 - 0
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HER
5 - 1
RIV
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MON
0 - 4
HER
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
LUC
65%
19%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAG
1 - 0
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
OLV
2 - 1
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
EMB
2 - 3
OLV
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 2
OLV
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OLV
2 - 1
EUR
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 1
OLV
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |