Herrera vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+205%
+321%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
PRA
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIC
2 - 4
HER
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
VAL
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 2
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOQ
17%
20%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
RBR
2 - 1
LUC
30%
24%
47%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
LUC
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LUC
3 - 1
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUC
3 - 3
RIC
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |