Hernando De Soto A vs Bienvenida A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+138%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernando De Soto A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 1
HER
82%
11%
6%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
ATH
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
ACE
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SPR
3 - 2
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bienvenida A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 3
BIE
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 1
UDF
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 1
BIE
64%
20%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
BIE
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BIE
0 - 3
CDE
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |