Hernán Cortés vs UD Frexnense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 2
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
OLY
41%
24%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 2
HER
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
CAM
12%
20%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Frexnense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 3
CPG
33%
22%
45%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
UDF
73%
16%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
3 - 4
CDN
42%
23%
35%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SPR
8 - 0
UDF
46%
23%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 3
ZAF
18%
21%
61%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |